Spatial Distribution Pattern of Covid-19 Cases and Their Characteristics In DKI Jakarta and Surrounding Areas

https://doi.org/10.22146/ijg.90542

Dwi Nowo Nowo Martono(1*), Halvina Grasela Saiya(2)

(1) School of Environmental Science, Universitas Indonesia, Indonesia.
(2) School of Environmental Science, Universitas Indonesia, Indonesia.
(*) Corresponding Author

Abstract


The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly affected various countries worldwide, including Indonesia. This study specifically examines the spatial distribution pattern of COVID-19 cases among sub-districts in DKI Jakarta and its neighboring areas. The study investigates the impact of spatial characteristics such as building density, population density, road network connectivity, and accessibility, as well as infrastructure completeness. A spatial regression model was employed to analyze the influence and pattern of COVID-19 case distribution among sub-districts. Spatial modeling indicates that geographic location has an effect on the data, often referred to as the autocorrelation effect. Moran’s Index was used to test the relationship between district locations and the number and growth rate of cases.

The study findings reveal a positive spatial autocorrelation in the growth rate pattern of COVID-19 cases among sub-districts and clusters in DKI Jakarta and its surrounding areas. The spatial regression model, specifically the Spatial Autoregressive Model (SAR), identifies road connectivity, number of health centers, building density, and population density as spatial variables that significantly influence the rate of COVID-19 cases.


Keywords


COVID-19 Cases; Spatial Characteristics; Autocorrelation; Spatial Regression

Full Text:

PDF


References

Anderson, O. (2021). “Estimasi Tingkat Kerentanan Permukiman Terhadap COVID-19 Berbasis Informasi Geografis (Studi Kasus: Kota Jakarta Utara).” Doctoral dissertation, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember.

Anselin, Luc. (2009). “Spatial Regression.” The SAGE Handbook of Spatial Analysis 1: 255–76.

Bekti, Rokhana Dwi. (2012). “Autokorelasi Spasial Untuk Identifikasi Pola Hubungan Kemiskinan Di Jawa Timur.” ComTech: Computer, Mathematics and Engineering Applications 3 (1): 217–27.

Bivand, Roger, Giovanni Millo, and Gianfranco Piras. (2021). “A review of software for spatial econometrics in R. ” Mathematics, 9(11), 1276.

Cholidah, Lilih, Djamuludin Ancok, and Haryanto Haryanto. (1996). “Hubungan Kepadatan Dan Kesesakan Dengan Stres Dan Intensi Proposal Pada Remaja Di Pemukiman Padat.” Psikologika: Jurnal Pemikiran Dan Penelitian Psikologi 1 (1): 56–64.

Cordes, Jack, and Marcia C Castro. (2020). “Spatial Analysis of COVID-19 Clusters and Contextual Factors in New York City.” Spatial and Spatio-Temporal Epidemiology 34: 100355.

Covid-19 Emergency Service DKI Jakarta. (2021). “Covid-19 Emergency Service DKI Jakarta 2020-2021.” 2021.

Depok City Covid-19 Information and Coordination Center. (2021). “Data Covid-19 on 2020-2021.” 2021. https://ccc-19.depok.go.id/index.php/Data/index.

DKI Jakarta Provincial Statistics Agency. (2021). “Covid-19 2020 and 2021 on DKI Jakarta.” 2021. https://jakarta.bps.go.id/subject/30/kesehatan.html#subjekViewTab3.

Fotheringham, A Stewart. (2009). “‘The Problem of Spatial Autocorrelation’ and Local Spatial Statistics.” Geographical Analysis 41 (4): 398–403. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4632.2009.00767.x.

Franch-Pardo, Ivan, Brian M Napoletano, Fernando Rosete-Verges, and Lawal Billa. (2020). “Spatial Analysis and GIS in the Study of COVID-19. A Review.” Science of The Total Environment 739: 140033.

Gross, Bnaya, Zhiguo Zheng, Shiyan Liu, Xiaoqi Chen, Alon Sela, Jianxin Li, Daqing Li, and Shlomo Havlin. (2020). “Spatio-Temporal Propagation of COVID-19 Pandemics.” Europhysics Letters 131 (5): 58003.

Guliyev, Hasraddin. (2020). “Determining the Spatial Effects of COVID-19 Using the Spatial Panel Data Model.” Spatial Statistics 38 (August): 100443. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spasta.2020.100443.

Hardianto, Jonathan.(2020). “Korelasi Kepadatan Penduduk Dan Penyebaran COVID19.” 2020.

Junaedi, Dedi, Muhammad Rizal Arsyad, Faisal Salistia, and Moh Romli. (2022). “Menguji Efektivitas Vaksinasi Covid-19 Di Indonesia.” Reslaj: Religion Education Social Laa Roiba Journal 4 (1): 120–43.

Kissling, W Daniel, and Gudrun Carl. (2008). “Spatial Autocorrelation and the Selection of Simultaneous Autoregressive Models.” Global Ecology and Biogeography 17 (1): 59–71. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1466-8238.2007.00334.x.

Kucharski, Adam J, Timothy W Russell, Charlie Diamond, Yang Liu, John Edmunds, Sebastian Funk, Rosalind M Eggo, et al. (2020). “Early Dynamics of Transmission and Control of COVID-19: A Mathematical Modelling Study.” The Lancet Infectious Diseases 20 (5): 553–58. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30144-4.

Lee, Jay, and David W S Wong. (2001). Statistical Analysis with ArcView GIS. New York: John Wiley & Sons.

Official Information Portal of Covid-19 Tangerang City. (2021). “Covid 19 2020 – 2021 Tangerang City.” 2021. https://covid19.tangerangkota.go.id/.

Perobelli, Fernando Salgueiro, and Eduardo Amaral Haddad. (2003). “An Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis of Brazilian Interregional Trade.” São Paulo: Nereus.

Revildy, Windy David, Siti Sarah Sobariah Lestari, and Yollanda Nalita. (2020). “Pemodelan Spatial Error Model (Sem) Angka Prevalensi Balita Pendek (Stunting) Di Indonesia Tahun 2018.” In Seminar Nasional Official Statistics, 2020:1224–31.

Samadi, Hari, and Yudiantri Asdi. (2017). “Penerapan Model Regresi Spasial Dalam Menentukan Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Indeks Pembangunan Manusia Di Kabupaten/Kota Provinsi Sumatera Barat.” Jurnal Matematika UNAND 6 (4): 80–89.

Solakha, Zahrotul Amalia. (2020). “Analisis Multilevel Terhadap Kasus Covid-19 Di Provinsi Banten, Dki Jakarta Dan Jawa Barat.” In Seminar Nasional Official Statistics, 2020:171–81.

South Tangerang City COVID-19 task force. (2021). “Covid-19 Task Force South Tangerang City.” 2021. https://lawancovid19.tangerangselatankota.go.id/.

Statistics Agency of Bekasi City. (2021). “Covid-19 on 2020-2021 Bekasi City.” 2021. https://bekasikota.bps.go.id/subject/30/kesehatan.html#subjekViewTab3.

Statistics Agency of Depok City. (2021). “Covid 19 on 2020-2021 Depok City.” 2021. https://depokkota.bps.go.id/subject/30/kesehatan.html#subjekViewTab3.

Statistics Agency of South Tangerang City. (2021). “Covid 19 on 2020-2021 South Tangerang City.” 2021. https://tangselkota.bps.go.id/indicator/30/33/1/jumlah-puskesmas-balai-pengobatan-dan-rumah-bersalin-menurut-kecamatan.html.

Sukarna, S, and W Sanusi. (2019). “Analisis Autokorelasi Moran’s I, Geary’s C, Getis-Ord G, Dan LISA Serta Penerapannya Pada Penderita Kusta Di Kabupaten Gowa.” Doctoral dissertation, Universitas Negeri Makasar.

Tobler, W R. (1970). “A Computer Movie Simulating Urban Growth in the Detroit Region.” Economic Geography 46 (sup1): 234–40. https://doi.org/10.2307/143141.

Weku, Winsy Christo Deilan. (2020). “Eksplorasi Efektifitas Model Spasial Untuk Menjelaskan Hubungan Antara Penduduk Dan Infrastruktur Terhadap Kesejahteraan Masyarakat Kota Manado.” AITI 17 (2): 130–42.

Xiong, Yongzhu, Yunpeng Wang, Feng Chen, and Mingyong Zhu. (2020). “Spatial Statistics and Influencing Factors of the Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia 2019 Epidemic in Hubei Province, China.” Spatial Statistics 38 (100443). https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-16858/v2.

Yanuari, A. (2013). “Perbandingan Pengujian Efek Spasial Dengan Lagrange Multiplier Dan Robust Lagrangemultiplier Pada Pemilihan Model Regresi Dependensi Spasial.” Doctoral dissertation, Universitas Brawijaya.



DOI: https://doi.org/10.22146/ijg.90542

Article Metrics

Abstract views : 446 | views : 396

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.




Copyright (c) 2024 Dwi Nowo Nowo Martono

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.

Accredited Journal, Based on Decree of the Minister of Research, Technology and Higher Education, Republic of Indonesia Number 225/E/KPT/2022, Vol 54 No 1 the Year 2022 - Vol 58 No 2 the Year 2026 (accreditation certificate download)

ISSN 2354-9114 (online), ISSN 0024-9521 (print)

Web
Analytics IJG STATISTIC